Simulation Methods
Let \(Y_{it}\) be the binary or multinomial response for subject \(i\) (\(i=1,\ldots,N\)) at measurement occasion \(t\) (\(t=1,\ldots,T\)), and let \(\mathbf {x}_{it}\) be the associated covariates vector. We assume that \(Y_{it} \in \{0,1\}\) for binary responses and \(Y_{it} \in \{1,2,\ldots,J\geq 3\}\) for multinomial responses.
Correlated nominal responses
The function rmult.bcl simulates nominal responses under the marginal baseline-category logit model
\[\begin{equation}
\log \left[\frac{\Pr(Y_{it}=j |\mathbf {x}_{it})}{\Pr(Y_{it}=J |\mathbf {x}_{it})}\right]=(\beta_{tj0}-\beta_{tJ0})+(\boldsymbol {\beta}_{tj}-\boldsymbol{\beta}_{tJ})^{\prime} \mathbf {x}_{it}=\beta^{\ast}_{tj0}+\boldsymbol{\beta}^{\ast\prime}_{tj}\mathbf {x}_{it},
\tag{3.1}
\end{equation}\]
where \(\beta_{tj0}\) is the \(j\)-th category-specific intercept at measurement occasion \(t\) and \(\boldsymbol{\beta}_{tj}\) is the \(j\)-th category-specific parameter vector associated with the covariates at measurement occasion \(t\). The popular identifiability constraints \(\beta_{tJ0}=0\) and \(\boldsymbol{\beta}_{tJ}=\mathbf {0}\) for all \(t\), imply that \(\beta^{\ast}_{tj0}=\beta_{tj0}\) and \(\boldsymbol {\beta}^{\ast}_{tj}=\boldsymbol{\beta}_{tj}\) for all \(t=1,\ldots,T\) and \(j=1,\ldots,J-1\). The threshold
\[Y_{it}=j \Leftrightarrow U^{NO}_{itj}=\max \{U^{NO}_{it1},\ldots,U^{NO}_{itJ}\}\]
generates clustered nominal responses that satisfy the marginal baseline-category logit model (3.1), where
\[U^{NO}_{itj}=\beta_{tj0}+\boldsymbol{\beta}_{tj}^{\prime} \mathbf {x}_{it}+e^{NO}_{itj},\]
and where the random variables \(\{e^{NO}_{itj}:i=1,\ldots,N \text{, } t=1,\ldots,T \text{ and } j=1,\ldots,J\}\) satisfy the following conditions:
- \(e^{NO}_{itj}\) follows the standard extreme value distribution for all \(i\), \(t\) and \(j\) (mean \(=\gamma \approx 0.5772\), where \(\gamma\) is Euler’s constant, and variance \(=\pi^2/6\)).
- \(e^{NO}_{i_1t_1j_1}\) and \(e^{NO}_{i_2t_2j_2}\) are independent random variables provided that \(i_1 \neq i_2\).
- \(e^{NO}_{itj_1}\) and \(e^{NO}_{itj_2}\) are independent random variables provided that \(j_1\neq j_2\).
For each subject \(i\), the association structure among the clustered nominal responses \(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\) depends on the joint distribution and correlation matrix of \(\{e^{NO}_{itj}:t=1,\ldots,T \text{ and } j=1,\ldots,J\}\). If the random variables \(\{e^{NO}_{itj}:t=1,\ldots,T \text{ and } j=1,\ldots,J\}\) are independent then so are \(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\).
Example 3.1 (Simulation of clustered nominal responses using the NORTA method) Suppose the aim is to simulate nominal responses from the marginal baseline-category logit model
\[\begin{equation*}
\log \left[\frac{\Pr(Y_{it}=j |\mathbf {x}_{it})}{\Pr(Y_{it}=4 |\mathbf {x}_{it})}\right]=\beta_{j0}+ \beta_{j1} {x}_{i1}+ \beta_{j2} {x}_{it2} \end{equation*}\]
where \(N=500\), \(T=3\), \((\beta_{10},\beta_{11},\beta_{12},\beta_{20},\beta_{21},\beta_{22},\beta_{30},\beta_{31},\beta_{32})=(1, 3, 2, 1.25, 3.25, 1.75, 0.75, 2.75, 2.25)\) and \(\mathbf {x}_{it}=(x_{i1},x_{it2})^{\prime}\) for all \(i\) and \(t\), with \(x_{i1}\overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,1)\) and \(x_{it2}\overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,1)\). For the dependence structure, suppose that the correlation matrix \(\mathbf{R}\) in the NORTA method has elements
\[
\mathbf{R}_{t_1j_1,t_2j_2}=\begin{cases}
1 & \text{if } t_1=t_2 \text{ and } j_1=j_2\\
0.95 & \text{if } t_1 \neq t_2 \text{ and } j_1=j_2\\
0 & \text{otherwise }\\
\end{cases}
\]
for all \(i=1,\ldots,500\).
# parameter vector
betas <- c(1, 3, 2, 1.25, 3.25, 1.75, 0.75, 2.75, 2.25, 0, 0, 0)
# sample size
sample_size <- 500
# number of nominal response categories
categories_no <- 4
# cluster size
cluster_size <- 3
set.seed(1)
# time-stationary covariate x_{i1}
x1 <- rep(rnorm(sample_size), each = cluster_size)
# time-varying covariate x_{it2}
x2 <- rnorm(sample_size * cluster_size)
# create covariates dataframe
xdata <- data.frame(x1, x2)
set.seed(321)
library("SimCorMultRes")
# latent correlation matrix for the NORTA method
equicorrelation_matrix <- toeplitz(c(1, rep(0.95, cluster_size - 1)))
identity_matrix <- diag(categories_no)
latent_correlation_matrix <- kronecker(equicorrelation_matrix, identity_matrix)
# simulation of clustered nominal responses
simulated_nominal_dataset <- rmult.bcl(clsize = cluster_size, ncategories = categories_no,
betas = betas, xformula = ~x1 + x2, xdata = xdata, cor.matrix = latent_correlation_matrix)
suppressPackageStartupMessages(library("multgee"))
# fitting a GEE model
nominal_gee_model <- nomLORgee(y ~ x1 + x2, data = simulated_nominal_dataset$simdata,
id = id, repeated = time, LORstr = "time.exch")
# checking regression coefficients
round(coef(nominal_gee_model), 2)
#> beta10 x1:1 x2:1 beta20 x1:2 x2:2 beta30 x1:3 x2:3
#> 1.07 3.18 1.99 1.35 3.40 1.70 0.89 3.06 2.22
Correlated ordinal responses
Simulation of clustered ordinal responses is feasible under either a marginal cumulative link model or a marginal continuation-ratio model.
Marginal cumulative link model
The function rmult.clm simulates ordinal responses under the marginal cumulative link model
\[\begin{equation}
\Pr(Y_{it}\le j |\mathbf {x}_{it})=F(\beta_{tj0} +\boldsymbol {\beta}^{\prime}_t \mathbf {x}_{it})
\tag{3.2}
\end{equation}\]
where \(F\) is a cumulative distribution function (cdf), \(\beta_{tj0}\) is the \(j\)-th category-specific intercept at measurement occasion \(t\) and \(\boldsymbol \beta_t\) is the regression parameter vector associated with the covariates at measurement occasion \(t\). The category-specific intercepts at each measurement occasion \(t\) are assumed to be monotone increasing, that is
\[-\infty=\beta_{t00} <\beta_{t10} < \beta_{t20} < \cdots < \beta_{t(J-1)0}< \beta_{tJ0}=\infty\]
for all \(t\). Using the threshold
\[Y_{it}=j \Leftrightarrow \beta_{t(j-1)0} < U^{O1}_{it} \leq \beta_{tj0}\]
clustered ordinal responses that satisfy the marginal cumulative link model (3.2) are generated, where
\[U^{O1}_{it}=-\boldsymbol{\beta}^{\prime}_t \mathbf {x}_{it}+e^{O1}_{it},\]
and where \(\{e^{O1}_{it}:i=1,\ldots,N \text{ and } t=1,\ldots,T\}\) are random variables such that:
- \(e^{O1}_{it} \sim F\) for all \(i\) and \(t\).
- \(e^{O1}_{i_1t_1}\) and \(e^{O1}_{i_2t_2}\) are independent random variables provided that \(i_1 \neq i_2\).
For each subject
\(i\), the association structure among the clustered ordinal responses
\(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\) depends on the pairwise bivariate distributions and correlation matrix of
\(\{e^{O1}_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\). If the random variables
\(\{e^{O1}_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\) are independent then so are
\(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\).
Example 3.2 (Simulation of clustered ordinal responses conditional on a marginal cumulative probit model with time-varying regression parameters) Suppose the goal is to simulate correlated ordinal responses from the marginal cumulative probit model
\[\begin{equation*}
\Pr(Y_{it}\le j |\mathbf x_{it})=\Phi(\beta_{j0} + \beta_{t1} {x}_{i})
\end{equation*}\]
where \(\Phi\) denotes the cdf of the standard normal distribution (mean \(=0\) and variance \(=1\)), \(N=500\), \(T=4\), \((\beta_{10},\beta_{20},\beta_{30},\beta_{40})=(-1.5,-0.5,0.5,1.5)\), \((\beta_{11},\beta_{21},\beta_{31},\beta_{41})=(1,2,3,4)\) and \(\mathbf x_{it}=x_{i}\overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,1)\) for all \(i\) and \(t\). For the dependence structure, assume that \(\mathbf{e}_i^{O1}=(e^{O1}_{i1},e^{O1}_{i2},e^{O1}_{i3},e^{O1}_{i4})^{\prime}\) are iid random vectors from a tetra-variate normal distribution with mean vector the zero vector and covariance matrix the correlation matrix
\[\left( {\begin{array}{*{20}c}
1.00 & 0.85 & 0.50 & 0.15 \\
0.85 & 1.00 & 0.85 & 0.50 \\
0.50 & 0.15 & 1.00 & 0.85 \\
0.15 & 0.85 & 0.50 & 1.00
\end{array} } \right).\]
set.seed(12345)
# sample size
sample_size <- 500
# cluster size
cluster_size <- 4
# category-specific intercepts
beta_intercepts <- c(-1.5, -0.5, 0.5, 1.5)
# time-varying regression parameters associated with covariates
beta_coefficients <- matrix(c(1, 2, 3, 4), 4, 1)
# time-stationary covariate
x <- rep(rnorm(sample_size), each = cluster_size)
# latent correlation matrix for the NORTA method
latent_correlation_matrix <- toeplitz(c(1, 0.85, 0.5, 0.15))
# simulation of ordinal responses
simulated_ordinal_dataset <- rmult.clm(clsize = cluster_size, intercepts = beta_intercepts,
betas = beta_coefficients, xformula = ~x, cor.matrix = latent_correlation_matrix,
link = "probit")
# first eight rows of the simulated dataframe
head(simulated_ordinal_dataset$simdata, n = 8)
#> y x id time
#> 1 1 0.5855288 1 1
#> 2 2 0.5855288 1 2
#> 3 2 0.5855288 1 3
#> 4 1 0.5855288 1 4
#> 5 1 0.7094660 2 1
#> 6 1 0.7094660 2 2
#> 7 1 0.7094660 2 3
#> 8 1 0.7094660 2 4
Marginal continuation-ratio model
The function rmult.crm simulates clustered ordinal responses under the marginal continuation-ratio model
\[\begin{equation}
\Pr(Y_{it}=j |Y_{it} \ge j,\mathbf {x}_{it})=F(\beta_{tj0} +\boldsymbol {\beta}^{'}_t \mathbf {x}_{it})
\tag{3.3}
\end{equation}\]
where \(\beta_{tj0}\) is the \(j\)-th category-specific intercept at measurement occasion \(t\), \(\boldsymbol \beta_t\) is the regression parameter vector associated with the covariates at measurement occasion \(t\) and \(F\) is a cdf. This is accomplished by utilizing the threshold
\[Y_{it}=j, \text{ given } Y_{it} \geq j \Leftrightarrow U^{O2}_{itj} \leq \beta_{tj0}\]
where
\[U^{O2}_{itj}=-\boldsymbol {\beta}^{\prime}_t \mathbf {x}_{it}+e^{O2}_{itj},\]
and where \(\{e^{O2}_{itj}:i=1,\ldots,N \text{ , } t=1,\ldots,T \text{ and } j=1,\ldots,J-1\}\) satisfy the following three conditions:
- \(e^{O2}_{itj} \sim F\) for all \(i\), \(t\) and \(j\).
- \(e^{O2}_{i_1t_1j_1}\) and \(e^{O2}_{i_2t_2j_2}\) are independent random variables provided that \(i_1 \neq i_2\).
- \(e^{O2}_{itj_1}\) and \(e^{O2}_{itj_2}\) are independent random variables provided that \(j_1\neq j_2\).
For each subject
\(i\), the association structure among the clustered ordinal responses
\(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\) depends on the joint distribution and correlation matrix of
\(\{e^{O2}_{itj}:j=1,\ldots,J \text{ and } t=1,\ldots,T\}\). If the random variables
\(\{e^{O2}_{itj}:j=1,\ldots,J \text{ and } t=1,\ldots,T\}\) are independent then so are
\(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\).
Example 3.3 (Simulation of clustered ordinal responses conditional on a marginal continuation-ratio probit model) Suppose simulation of clustered ordinal responses under the marginal continuation-ratio probit model
\[\begin{equation*}
\Pr(Y_{it}=j |Y_{it} \ge j,\mathbf{x}_{it})=\Phi(\beta_{j0} + \beta {x}_{it})
\end{equation*}\]
with \(N=500\), \(T=4\), \((\beta_{10},\beta_{20},\beta_{30},\beta_{40},\beta)=(-1.5,-0.5,0.5,1.5,1)\) and \(\mathbf{x}_{it}=x_{it}\overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,1)\) for all \(i\) and \(t\) is desired. For the dependence structure, assume that \(\left\{\mathbf{e}_i^{O2}=\left(e^{O2}_{i11},\ldots,e^{O1}_{i44}\right)^{\prime}:i=1,\ldots,N\right\}\) are iid random vectors from a multivariate normal distribution with mean vector the zero vector and covariance matrix the \(16 \times 16\) correlation matrix with elements\[
\text{corr}(e^{O2}_{it_1j_1},e^{O2}_{it_2j_2}) = \begin{cases}
1 & \text{for } j_1 = j_2 \text{ and } t_1 = t_2\\
0.24 & \text{for } t_1 \neq t_2\\
0 & \text{otherwise.}\\
\end{cases}
\]
set.seed(1)
# sample size
sample_size <- 500
# cluster size
cluster_size <- 4
# category-specific intercepts
beta_intercepts <- c(-1.5, -0.5, 0.5, 1.5)
# regression parameters associated with covariates
beta_coefficients <- 1
# time-varying covariate
x <- rnorm(sample_size * cluster_size)
# number of ordinal response categories
categories_no <- 5
# correlation matrix for the NORTA method
latent_correlation_matrix <- diag(1, (categories_no - 1) * cluster_size) + kronecker(toeplitz(c(0,
rep(0.24, categories_no - 2))), matrix(1, cluster_size, cluster_size))
# simulation of ordinal responses
simulated_ordinal_dataset <- rmult.crm(clsize = cluster_size, intercepts = beta_intercepts,
betas = beta_coefficients, xformula = ~x, cor.matrix = latent_correlation_matrix,
link = "probit")
# first six clusters with ordinal responses
head(simulated_ordinal_dataset$Ysim)
#> t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4
#> i=1 2 1 3 1
#> i=2 1 4 1 1
#> i=3 2 2 1 3
#> i=4 3 5 2 2
#> i=5 2 1 1 1
#> i=6 3 3 4 5
Marginal adjacent-category logit model
The function rmult.acl simulates clustered ordinal responses under the marginal adjacent-category logit model
\[\begin{equation}
\log\left[\frac{\Pr(Y_{it}=j |\mathbf {x}_{it})}{\Pr(Y_{it}=j+1 |\mathbf {x}_{it})}\right]=\beta_{tj0} +\boldsymbol {\beta}^{'}_t \mathbf {x}_{it}
\tag{3.4}
\end{equation}\]
where \(\beta_{tj0}\) is the \(j\)-th category-specific intercept at measurement occasion \(t\), \(\boldsymbol \beta_t\) is the regression parameter vector associated with the covariates at measurement occasion \(t\).
Generation of clustered ordinal responses relies upon utilizing the connection between baseline-category logit models and adjacent-category logit models. In particular, the threshold
\[Y_{it}=j \Leftrightarrow U^{O3}_{itj}=\max \{U^{O3}_{it1},\ldots,U^{O3}_{itJ}\}\]
generates clustered nominal responses that satisfy the marginal adjacent-category logit model (3.4), where
\[U^{O3}_{itj}=\sum_{k=j}^J\beta_{tk0}+(J-j)\boldsymbol{\beta}_{t}^{\prime} \mathbf {x}_{it}+e^{O3}_{itj},\]
and where the random variables \(\{e^{O3}_{itj}:i=1,\ldots,N \text{, } t=1,\ldots,T \text{ and } j=1,\ldots,J\}\) satisfy the following conditions:
- \(e^{O3}_{itj}\) follows the standard extreme value distribution for all \(i\), \(t\) and \(j\).
- \(e^{O3}_{i_1t_1j_1}\) and \(e^{O3}_{i_2t_2j_2}\) are independent random variables provided that \(i_1 \neq i_2\).
- \(e^{O3}_{itj_1}\) and \(e^{O3}_{itj_2}\) are independent random variables provided that \(j_1\neq j_2\).
For each subject \(i\), the association structure among the clustered ordinal responses \(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\) depends on the joint distribution and correlation matrix of \(\{e^{O3}_{itj}:t=1,\ldots,T \text{ and } j=1,\ldots,J\}\). If the random variables \(\{e^{O3}_{itj}:t=1,\ldots,T \text{ and } j=1,\ldots,J\}\) are independent then so are \(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\).
Example 3.4 (Simulation of clustered ordinal responses conditional on a marginal adjacent-category logit model using the NORTA method) Suppose the aim is to simulate ordinal responses from the marginal adjacent-category logit model
\[\begin{equation*}
\log \left[\frac{\Pr(Y_{it}=j |\mathbf {x}_{it})}{\Pr(Y_{it}=j+1 |\mathbf {x}_{it})}\right]=\beta_{j0}+ \beta_{1} {x}_{i1}+ \beta_{2} {x}_{it2} \end{equation*}\]
where \(N=500\), \(T=3\), \((\beta_{10},\beta_{20},\beta_{30})=(3, 2, 1)\), \((\beta_{1},\beta_{2})=(1, 1)\) and \(\mathbf {x}_{it}=(x_{i1},x_{it2})^{\prime}\) for all \(i\) and \(t\), with \(x_{i1}\overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,1)\) and \(x_{it2}\overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,1)\). For the dependence structure, suppose that the correlation matrix \(\mathbf{R}\) in the NORTA method has elements
\[
\mathbf{R}_{t_1j_1,t_2j_2}=\begin{cases}
1 & \text{if } t_1=t_2 \text{ and } j_1=j_2\\
0.95 & \text{if } t_1 \neq t_2 \text{ and } j_1=j_2\\
0 & \text{otherwise }\\
\end{cases}
\]
for all \(i=1,\ldots,500\).
# intercepts
beta_intercepts <- c(3, 2, 1)
# parameter vector
beta_coefficients <- c(1, 1)
# sample size
sample_size <- 500
# cluster size
cluster_size <- 3
set.seed(321)
# time-stationary covariate x_{i1}
x1 <- rep(rnorm(sample_size), each = cluster_size)
# time-varying covariate x_{it2}
x2 <- rnorm(sample_size * cluster_size)
# create covariates dataframe
xdata <- data.frame(x1, x2)
# correlation matrix for the NORTA method
equicorrelation_matrix <- toeplitz(c(1, rep(0.95, cluster_size - 1)))
identity_matrix <- diag(4)
latent_correlation_matrix <- kronecker(equicorrelation_matrix, identity_matrix)
# simulation of clustered ordinal responses
simulated_ordinal_dataset <- rmult.acl(clsize = cluster_size, intercepts = beta_intercepts,
betas = beta_coefficients, xformula = ~x1 + x2, xdata = xdata, cor.matrix = latent_correlation_matrix)
suppressPackageStartupMessages(library("multgee"))
# fitting a GEE model
ordinal_gee_model <- ordLORgee(y ~ x1 + x2, data = simulated_ordinal_dataset$simdata,
id = id, repeated = time, LORstr = "time.exch", link = "acl")
# checking regression coefficients
round(coef(ordinal_gee_model), 2)
#> beta10 beta20 beta30 x1 x2
#> 2.95 1.97 1.67 1.14 1.00
Correlated binary responses
The function rbin simulates binary responses under the marginal model specification
\[\begin{equation}
\Pr(Y_{it}=1 |\mathbf {x}_{it})=F(\beta_{t0} +\boldsymbol {\beta}^{\prime}_{t} \mathbf {x}_{it})
\tag{3.5}
\end{equation}\]
where \(\beta_{t0}\) is the intercept at measurement occasion \(t\), \(\boldsymbol \beta_t\) is the regression parameter vector associated with the covariates at measurement occasion \(t\) and \(F\) is a cdf. The threshold
\[Y_{it}=1 \Leftrightarrow U^{B}_{it} \leq \beta_{t0} + 2 \boldsymbol {\beta}^{\prime}_t \mathbf {x}_{it},\]
generates clustered binary responses that satisfy the marginal model (3.5), where
\[\begin{equation}
U^{B}_{it}=\boldsymbol {\beta}^{\prime}_t \mathbf {x}_{it}+e^{B}_{it},
\tag{3.6}
\end{equation}\]
and where \(\{e^{B}_{it}:i=1,\ldots,N \text{ and } t=1,\ldots,T\}\) are random variables such that:
- \(e^{B}_{it} \sim F\) for all \(i\) and \(t\).
- \(e^{B}_{i_1t_1}\) and \(e^{B}_{i_2t_2}\) are independent random variables provided that \(i_1 \neq i_2\).
For each subject
\(i\), the association structure among the clustered binary responses
\(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\) depends on the pairwise bivariate distributions and correlation matrix of
\(\{e^{B}_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\). If the random variables
\(\{e^{B}_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\) are independent then so are
\(\{Y_{it}:t=1,\ldots,T\}\).
Example 3.5 (Simulation of clustered binary responses conditional on a marginal probit model using NORTA method) Suppose the goal is to simulate clustered binary responses from the marginal probit model
\[\Pr(Y_{it}=1 |\mathbf{x}_{it})=\Phi(0.2x_i)\]
where
\(N=100\),
\(T=4\) and
\(\mathbf{x}_{it}=x_i\overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,1)\) for all
\(i\) and
\(t\). For the association structure, assume that the random variables
\(\mathbf{e}_i^{B}=(e^{B}_{i1},e^{B}_{i2},e^{B}_{i3},e^{B}_{i4})^{\prime}\) in
(3.6) are iid random vectors from the tetra-variate normal distribution with mean vector the zero vector and covariance matrix the correlation matrix
\(\mathbf{R}\) given by
\[\begin{equation}
\mathbf{R}=\left( {\begin{array}{*{20}c}
1.00 & 0.90 & 0.90 & 0.90 \\
0.90 & 1.00 & 0.90 & 0.90 \\
0.90 & 0.90 & 1.00 & 0.90 \\
0.90 & 0.90 & 0.90 & 1.00
\end{array} } \right).
\tag{3.7}
\end{equation}\]
This association configuration defines an exchangeable correlation matrix for the clustered binary responses, i.e.
\(\text{corr}(Y_{it_1},Y_{it_2})=\rho_i\) for all
\(i\) and
\(t\). The strength of the correlation (
\(\rho_i\)) is decreasing as the absolute value of the time-stationary covariate
\(x_i\) increases. For example,
\(\rho_i=0.7128\) when
\(x_{i}=0\) and
\(\rho_i=0.7\) when
\(x_i=3\) or
\(x_i=-3\). Therefore, a strong exchangeable correlation pattern for each subject that does not differ much across subjects is implied with this configuration.
set.seed(123)
# sample size
sample_size <- 100
# cluster size
cluster_size <- 4
# intercept
beta_intercepts <- 0
# regression parameter associated with the covariate
beta_coefficients <- 0.2
# correlation matrix for the NORTA method
latent_correlation_matrix <- toeplitz(c(1, 0.9, 0.9, 0.9))
# time-stationary covariate
x <- rep(rnorm(sample_size), each = cluster_size)
# simulation of clustered binary responses
simulated_binary_dataset <- rbin(clsize = cluster_size, intercepts = beta_intercepts,
betas = beta_coefficients, xformula = ~x, cor.matrix = latent_correlation_matrix,
link = "probit")
library("gee")
# fitting a GEE model
binary_gee_model <- gee(y ~ x, family = binomial("probit"), id = id, data = simulated_binary_dataset$simdata)
#> Beginning Cgee S-function, @(#) geeformula.q 4.13 98/01/27
#> running glm to get initial regression estimate
#> (Intercept) x
#> 0.1315121 0.2826005
# checking the estimated coefficients
summary(binary_gee_model)$coefficients
#> Estimate Naive S.E. Naive z Robust S.E. Robust z
#> (Intercept) 0.1315121 0.06399465 2.055048 0.1106696 1.188331
#> x 0.2826006 0.07191931 3.929412 0.1270285 2.224703
Example 3.6 (Simulation of clustered binary responses under a conditional marginal logit model without utilizing the NORTA method) Consider now simulation of correlated binary responses from the marginal logit model
\[\begin{equation*}
\Pr(Y_{it}=1 |\mathbf{x}_{it})=F(0.2x_i)
\end{equation*}\]
where
\(F\) is the cdf of the standard logistic distribution (mean
\(=0\) and variance
\(=\pi^2/3\)),
\(N=100\),
\(T=4\) and
\(\mathbf{x}_{it}=x_i\overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,1)\) for all
\(i\) and
\(t\). This is similar to the marginal model configuration in Example
3.5 except from the link function. For the dependence structure, assume that the correlation matrix of
\(\mathbf{e}_i^{B}=(e^{B}_{i1},e^{B}_{i2},e^{B}_{i3},e^{B}_{i4})^{\prime}\) in
(3.6) is equal to the correlation matrix
\(\mathbf{R}\) defined in
(3.7). To simulate
\(\mathbf{e}_i^{B}\) without utilizing the NORTA method, one can employ the tetra-variate extreme value distribution
(Gumbel 1958). In particular, this is accomplished by setting
\(\mathbf{e}_i^{B}=\mathbf{U}_i-\mathbf{V}_i\) for all
\(i\), where
\(\mathbf{U}_i\) and
\(\mathbf{V}_i\) are independent random vectors from the tetra-variate extreme value distribution with dependence parameter equal to
\(0.9\), that is
\[\Pr\left(U_{i1}\leq u_{i1},U_{i2}\leq u_{i2},U_{i3}\leq u_{i3},U_{i4}\leq u_{i4}\right)=\exp\left\{-\left[\sum_{t=1}^4 \exp{\left(-\frac{u_{it}}{0.9}\right)}\right]^{0.9}\right\}\]
and
\[\Pr\left(V_{i1}\leq v_{i1},V_{i2}\leq v_{i2},V_{i3}\leq v_{i3},V_{i4}\leq v_{i4}\right)=\exp\left\{-\left[\sum_{t=1}^4 \exp{\left(-\frac{v_{it}}{0.9}\right)}\right]^{0.9}\right\}.\]
It follows that
\(e_{it}^{B}\sim F\) for all
\(i\) and
\(t\) and
\(\textrm{corr}(\mathbf{e}_i^{B})=\mathbf{R}\) for all
\(i\).
set.seed(8)
# simulation of epsilon variables
library(evd)
simulated_latent_variables1 <- rmvevd(sample_size, dep = sqrt(1 - 0.9), model = "log",
d = cluster_size)
simulated_latent_variables2 <- rmvevd(sample_size, dep = sqrt(1 - 0.9), model = "log",
d = cluster_size)
simulated_latent_variables <- simulated_latent_variables1 - simulated_latent_variables2
# simulation of clustered binary responses
simulated_binary_dataset <- rbin(clsize = cluster_size, intercepts = beta_intercepts,
betas = beta_coefficients, xformula = ~x, rlatent = simulated_latent_variables)
# fitting a GEE model
binary_gee_model <- gee(y ~ x, family = binomial("logit"), id = id, data = simulated_binary_dataset$simdata)
#> Beginning Cgee S-function, @(#) geeformula.q 4.13 98/01/27
#> running glm to get initial regression estimate
#> (Intercept) x
#> 0.04146261 0.09562709
# checking the estimated coefficients
summary(binary_gee_model)$coefficients
#> Estimate Naive S.E. Naive z Robust S.E. Robust z
#> (Intercept) 0.04146261 0.1008516 0.4111249 0.1790511 0.2315686
#> x 0.09562709 0.1107159 0.8637160 0.1949327 0.4905647
No marginal model specification
To achieve simulation of clustered binary, ordinal and nominal responses under no marginal model specification, perform the following intercepts:
Based on the marginal probabilities calculate the intercept of a marginal probit model for binary responses (see Example 3.7) or the category-specific intercepts of a cumulative probit model (see third example in Touloumis 2016) or of a baseline-category logit model for multinomial responses (see Example 3.8).
Create a pseudo-covariate say x of length equal to the number of cluster size (clsize) times the desired number of clusters of simulated responses (say R), that is x = clsize * R. This step is required in order to identify the desired number of clustered responses.
Set betas = 0 in the core functions rbin (see Example 3.7) or rmult.clm, or set 0 all values of the beta argument that correspond to the category-specific parameters in the core function rmult.bcl (see Example 3.8).
set xformula = ~ x.
Run the core function to obtain realizations of the simulated clustered responses.
Example 3.7 (Simulation of clustered binary responses without covariates) Suppose the goal is to simulate \(5000\) clustered binary responses with \(\Pr(Y_{t}=1)=0.8\) for all \(t=1,\ldots,4\). For simplicity, assume that the clustered binary responses are independent.
set.seed(123)
# sample size
sample_size <- 5000
# cluster size
cluster_size <- 4
# intercept
beta_intercepts <- qnorm(0.8)
# pseudo-covariate
x <- rep(0, each = cluster_size * sample_size)
# regression parameter associated with the covariate
beta_coefficients <- 0
# correlation matrix for the NORTA method
latent_correlation_matrix <- diag(cluster_size)
# simulation of clustered binary responses
simulated_binary_dataset <- rbin(clsize = cluster_size, intercepts = beta_intercepts,
betas = beta_coefficients, xformula = ~x, cor.matrix = latent_correlation_matrix,
link = "probit")
# simulated marginal probabilities
colMeans(simulated_binary_dataset$Ysim)
#> t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4
#> 0.8024 0.7972 0.7948 0.8088
Example 3.8 (Simulation of clustered nominal responses without covariates) Suppose the aim is to simulate \(N=5000\) clustered nominal responses with
\(\Pr(Y_{t}=1)=0.1\), \(\Pr(Y_{t}=2)=0.2\), \(\Pr(Y_{t}=3)=0.3\) and \(\Pr(Y_{t}=4)=0.4\), for all \(i\) and \(t=1,\ldots,3\). For the sake of simplicity, we assume that the clustered responses are independent.
# sample size
sample_size <- 5000
# cluster size
cluster_size <- 3
# pseudo-covariate
x <- rep(0, each = cluster_size * sample_size)
# parameter vector
betas <- c(log(0.1/0.4), 0, log(0.2/0.4), 0, log(0.3/0.4), 0, 0, 0)
# number of nominal response categories
categories_no <- 4
set.seed(1)
# correlation matrix for the NORTA method
latent_correlation_matrix <- kronecker(diag(cluster_size), diag(categories_no))
# simulation of clustered nominal responses
simulated_nominal_dataset <- rmult.bcl(clsize = cluster_size, ncategories = categories_no,
betas = betas, xformula = ~x, cor.matrix = latent_correlation_matrix)
# simulated marginal probabilities
apply(simulated_nominal_dataset$Ysim, 2, table)/sample_size
#> t=1 t=2 t=3
#> 1 0.1000 0.0996 0.1036
#> 2 0.2034 0.2000 0.2000
#> 3 0.2874 0.3130 0.2894
#> 4 0.4092 0.3874 0.4070